Florida Atlantic vs South Alabama 10/20/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Florida Atlantic winning 52% of simulations, and South Alabama 48% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Florida Atlantic commits fewer turnovers in 38% of simulations and they go on to win 65% when they take care of the ball. South Alabama wins 62% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Damian Fortner is averaging 47 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. Demetre Baker is averaging 78 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (20% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is USA -3

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